Homepage  Homepage     Search on site  Search on site     To write the letter  To write the letter     Site map  Site map
Agro Perspectiva
We are on: 
   
 


Home > News

USDA attache increased its estimate for South Africas 2020/21 MY total corn crop by 14% to 16 million tons

28.01.2021 15:20 "Agro Perspectiva" (Kyiv) Following are selected highlights from a report issued by a U. S. Department of Agriculture attache in The Pretoria (South Africa — Republic of). Post increased its estimate for South Africas 2020/21 MY total corn crop by 14 percent to 16 million tons. This estimate is on the same level as the 2019/20 MY corn crop. Increased optimism for a bumper 2020/21 MY corn crop is driven by favorable weather conditions. South Africa had an exceptional start to the 2020/21 MY, with widespread rains during October and November that ensured corn producers completed plantings on time. Favorable weather conditions continued during December and January over most of the summer rainfall production region providing conducive growing conditions.

Post increased its previous estimate for the commercial demand for corn in South Africa for the 2019/20 MY from 11.4 million tons to 11.5 million tons. The increase is mainly driven by a rise in the demand for corn for human consumption. With South Africas relatively weak economy and high unemployment rate, many consumers, especially lower income consumers, are shifting more to white corn, in the form of a meal, as relatively inexpensive source of carbohydrates. Post also increased it

forecast for the commercial demand for corn in the 2020/21 MY to 11.7 million tons, driven mainly by an increase in the human consumption of corn.

South Africa will remain a net exporter of corn in the 2020/21 MY on an estimated second consecutive bumper corn crop that will see the estimated commercial production exceeding local consumption. Post predicts South Africa should be able to export around 3.0 million tons of corn in the 2020/21 MY. In addition, Post estimates South Africa will export about 2.5 million tons of corn in the 2019/20 MY. In the first 8 months of the 2019/20 MY, South Africa already exported 1.9 million tons of corn with South Korea, Taiwan, Zimbabwe, Botswana and Japan the major markets.

CORN

Production

South Africa had an exceptional start to the 2020/21 MY, with widespread rains during October and November ensuring corn producers completed plantings on time. Favorable weather conditions continued during December and January over most of the summer rainfall production region providing conducive growing conditions. The medium term weather forecast to March from the South African Weather Services appears favorable for continues rainfall (La Niña weather pattern), adding to optimism for a bumper corn crop in the 2020/21 MY. Although, heavy rains carry a risk of crop damage, this risk appears limited at this stage.

Due to the promising start the summer rainfall season and the current favorable weather conditions, post increased its estimate for South Africas 2020/21 MY total corn crop (subsistence and commercial corn) by 14 percent to 16 million tons. This estimate is on the same level as the 2019/20 MY corn crop (also refer to Table 1). The South African Crop Estimates Committee (CEC) will release its first estimate of the 2020/21 MY summer rainfall crops at the end of February 2021.

In terms of the 2019/20 MY, on November 26, 2020, the CEC released its final production estimate for South Africas summer rainfall crops. The CEC estimated the South African commercial corn crop for the 2019/20 MY at 15.4 million tons on 2.6 million hectares at a national average yield of 5.9 tons per hectare. The 2019/20 MY corn crop is the second largest commercial corn crop ever produced in South Africa and 37 percent larger than the 2018/19 MYs commercial crop of 11.3 million tons. The three main corn producing areas in South Africa, namely the Free State (45 percent), Mpumalanga (21 percent) and North West (18 percent) provinces produced collectively 84 percent of the 2019/20 MYs corn crop.

The CEC kept the 2019/20 MYs production estimate for the subsistence farming sectors corn crop unchanged at 543,545 tons, marginally lower than the 549,180 tons produced in the 2018/19 MY. This means South Africas total corn crop for the 2019/20 MY is estimated at 16.0 million tons on 2.9 million hectares, which is 35 percent more than the 2018/19 MYs corn crop of 11.8 million tons.

The following table details area planted, yield and production figures for commercial white corn and yellow corn as well as corn produced by subsistence farmers for the 2018/19 MY (actual), 2019/20 MY (estimate), and 2020/21 MY (forecast).

Agro Perspectiva

< Economy Ministry announces market agreement to limit corn export from Ukraine in 2020/2021 MY to 24 mln tonnes All news for
28.01.2021
Global orange production for 2020/21 is forecast to rise 3.6 million MT from the previous year to 49.4 million >

04.12.2022  
17:09 Global cereal production and trade forecast to fall to three-year lows
17:06 45 countries need external assistance for food
16:37 Global food prices overall hold steady in November
01.12.2022  
04:16 Cargill announces acquisition of Owensboro Grain Company
03:14 FAO and Pacific nations weigh local innovations as solutions to growing climate and nutrition challenges
02:37 Global Environment Facility tasks FAO and IFAD to lead new $230 million agrifood systems transformation program
02:15 Cargill Appoints Brian Sikes as President and Chief Executive Officer, and Dave MacLennan as Executive Chair of the Board
23.11.2022  
05:44 Australia sugar production for 2022/23 is estimated to rise slightly to 4.4 MMT
21.11.2022  
07:54 U.S. provides up to $20 mln for Grain from Ukraine initiative
07:25 Grain from Ukraine program foresees provision of at least 5 mln people with grain until end of spring 2023
16.11.2022  
10:02 World sugar production - 179.6 million tonnes - FAOs preliminary forecast
15.11.2022  
20:11 Rice. The 2022/23 global harvest is still envisaged to remain at an overall average level of 512.6 million tonnes
19:38 World wheat production is forecast to reach a record 784 million tonnes in 2022/23,
19:32 Alarming signs as the global food import bill set to rise to nearly US$2 trillion due to higher prices
10.11.2022  
13:35 Conflict on the Black Sea: a review of Ukraine sunflowerseed
08.11.2022  
08:12 Ukraine: FAO reinforces its presence to optimize technical and humanitarian assistance
02.11.2022  
09:52 Pork. Global production is forecast to rise 1 percent in 2023 to 111.0 million tons as production in China increases
09:33 Turkey raises tariff on imported sunflowerseed
09:24 India: The FSSAI's 2021 Draft Amendments to the Approval of Non-Specified Food and Food Ingredients Regulation is now a Final Amendment in 2022
31.10.2022  
08:00 New $250 million USAID grant will boost FAOs efforts to strengthen global health security and agrifood systems
07:45 Global market overview onions
28.10.2022  
07:00 China: Worlds Largest Walnut Producer Turns to Exports
27.10.2022  
08:44 Credit Union Member Farmers in Ukraine Receive Free Fuel Through Worldwide Foundation for Credit Unions Program
24.10.2022  
13:37 EBRD commits up to EUR3 billion to Ukraine
21.10.2022  
17:00 European Commission and EIB initiate feasibility study to better connect Ukrainian and Moldovan railway networks with EU
14.10.2022  
20:15 EBRD and United Kingdom join forces to back Ukrenergo
20:11 Canada and EBRD join forces to support Ukraines Naftogaz
12.10.2022  
21:03 Strong Farmer Selling Sparks Argentina Exports
20:32 EU Corn Imports Remain High with Smaller Crop
10.10.2022  
19:54 Inflation in Ukraine up to 1.9% in Sept, to 24.6% in annual terms - statistics
09.10.2022  
10:54 Turkey Peach and Nectarine Prospects Continue to Ripen
09:32 EU27 sugar production for MY 2022/23 is forecast at 16 MMT
07.10.2022  
11:35 World Bank improves forecast for growth of Ukrainian economy in 2023 to 3.3%
11:17 Asia-Pacific countries urged to rapidly transform agrifood systems as hopes fade for achieving the Sustainable Development Goals by 2030
11:11 Lower forecasts for 2022/23 global cereal output, utilization and trade
11:05 FAO Food Price Index drops for the sixth consecutive month
10:26 How sustainable forest management can enhance the worlds biodiversity
05.10.2022  
10:22 Turkeys pistachio production in MY 2022/23 is forecast to increase year-over-year to 210,000 MT
04.10.2022  
20:05 World Bank improves forecast for growth of Ukrainian economy in 2023 to 3.3%
12:11 Tackling food loss and waste: A triple win opportunity
28.09.2022  
08:47 EBRD expects Ukraines economy to contract by nearly a third in 2022
27.09.2022  
15:48 Farmers sowed 961,000 hectares of winter rapeseed
13.09.2022  
07:03 China vegetable oil imports plunge in 2021/22 but forecast to recover in 2022/23
05:00 India Imposes Export Restrictions on Certain Types of Rice
08.09.2022  
16:43 Famine in Somalia projected, lives of millions of people are at immediate risk, UN says
05.09.2022  
19:00 Lower cereal production outlook underpins downward revisions for utilization and stocks in 2022/23
18:55 World food commodity prices dip for fifth month in a row in August
31.08.2022  
08:55 BASF and Corteva Agriscience collaborate to deliver the future of weed control to soybean farmers
29.08.2022  
23:37 Ukraine and Moldova abolish permits for intl cargo transportation from Sept
14:57 Chile: Walnut production estimates in 165,000 MT in 2022/23 MY

Also available: 


NewsNews - News - News - News - News - News
BriefWeekly Reports - Free article
SubscriptionTariff - News&Reports
AdvertisingMagazine - Site
ConferencesForum AGRO-2013 - DAIRY WORLD-2008 - FERTILIZERS-2010
Statistics
For our clientsAgroNewsDaily - Ukrainian Grain&Oilseed Market - Fertilizers - Milk Monthly - Milk Weekly
About usAbout project - Contact
2002 -2022 © Agrarika, ltd.
tel.: +380 44 5934543; +380 44 5934540
e-mail: client@agroperspectiva.com