Global orange production for 2020/21 is forecast to rise 3.6 million MT from the previous year to 49.4 million
29.01.2021 11:15 "Agro Perspectiva" (Kyiv) —
According to the report of the USDA Citrus: World Markets and Trade (January 2021), global orange production for 2020/21 is forecast to rise 3.6 million metric tons (tons) from the previous year to 49.4 million as favorable weather leads to larger crops in Brazil and Mexico, offsetting declines in Turkey and the United States. Consequently, consumption, fruit for processing, and fresh exports are also forecast higher. Brazil production is forecast to grow 14 percent to 16.9 million tons based on expected favorable weather, bloom, and fruit set. Fresh orange consumption is forecast to be flat while oranges for processing are up 2.0 million tons to 12.2 million. Mexico production is forecast to rebound by more than half to 4.0 million tons after drought decimated last year’s crop. Greater supplies will lead to greater consumption and more fruit used for processing. China production is projected up slightly to 7.5 million tons on favorable weather. Consumption is up with the increase in production while fewer oranges are expected to be used for processing. Imports are forecast to be flat with top suppliers expected to remain Egypt, South Africa, Australia, the United States, and the European Union. European Union (EU) production is forecast up 6 percent to 6.6 million tons due to favorable weather and an increase in area harvested as new orchards in Italy begin production. Imports are down while consumption, oranges for processing, and exports are all up on higher supplies. United States production is forecast to fall 13 percent to 4.1 million tons with production in Florida forecast to drop 20 percent due to above-average droppage. Consumption, exports, and fruit for processing are all forecast to be down with the drop in production, though imports are expected up. Egypt production is forecast to rise 200,000 tons to 3.4 million tons due to an increase in area harvested and due to favorable weather during flowing and fruit set. Consumption, oranges for processing, and exports are all up with the higher supplies. Top export markets are expected to remain the European Union, Russia, Saudi Arabia, and China. South Africa production is expected to rise 3 percent to 1.7 million tons due to expected normal weather conditions, an increase in area harvested with new plantings of high yielding and late maturing varieties, and improved water management. Exports are forecast up slightly to 1.3 million tons and account for over one-quarter of global trade. The EU is expected to remain South Africa’s largest market, accounting for over one-third of exports. Turkey production is down 20 percent to 1.4 million tons as hot weather and strong winds damaged the bloom. Consumption, exports, and fruit for processing are all down with the lower supplies. Morocco production is forecast to rebound more than one-third to 1.1 million tons due to favorable weather and increased area as new orchards begin production. Consumption, exports, and fruit for processing are also forecast higher.
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