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UKRAINIAN GRAINS MARKET

Within reporting week Ukrainian domestic grains market has, once again, got strengthened due to continuous global/domestic markets impact.

As of now, global grains market is growing literally by leaps and bounds, what makes significant impact on Ukrainian domestic grains market, — since this year Ukrainian grains crop will be certainly much down against last year.

In what concerns domestic market new crop grains trade, — sale rates are very low (even despite purchase prices significant growth) due to most agrarians having taken wait-and-see policy (same as within last year) in anticipation for prices further growth. Basically, agrarians behavior is quite substantiated. There are 2 reasons motivating agrarians position: first, global grains market continue quickly booting; second, Ukrainian grains crop is quite certain to fall by about 20% this year. As of now, Government keeps saying there are no reasons to introduce grains export so far, — but, at same time, Prime Minister pledges not to permit domestic market bread prices growth. It is interesting to see which of these 2 promises will be kept.

Barley

Within reporting week traders CPT Black Sea ports basis feed barley purchase prices have significantly grown, — up to UAH2,050–2,170 per MT; at same time, traders EXW-ex-elevator basis feed barley purchase prices ranged within UAH1,850–1,980 per MT (depending on regions/lots).

As of this week, Ukrainian new crop feed barley guiding export prices ranged within US$292–300 per MT (FOB Black Sea deep water ports, big lots).

Feed barley ports purchase prices
 

( demand )

FOB ( offer )

 

UAH per MT

US$ per MT

US$ per MT

19.07.2012

2,050–2,170

272–284

292–300

12.07.2012

2,000–2,150

272–281

292–297

05.07.2012

1,900–1,980

255–269

275–285

26.06.2012

1,620–1,740

230–241

250–260

20.06.2012

1,680–1,750

225–236

245–255

Wheat

Within reporting week feed wheat purchase prices have also risen against previous week, — up to UAH1,700–1,780 per MT (EXW-ex-elevator) and UAH1,800–1,900 per MT (CPT Black Sea/Azov Sea ports).

This week feed wheat export offer prices ranged within US$280–285 per MT, FOB (Handysize/Panamax type vessels) and US$270–275 per MT, FOB (small-sized vessels in shallow-water ports).

Within this week domestic market 3 and 2 classes food wheat purchase prices were correspondingly UAH1,800–1,900 per MT (EXW-ex-elevator) and UAH1,850–1,950 per MT (EXW-ex-elevator).

On CPT Black Sea/Azov Sea ports basis, most traders were ready to buy 3 class food wheat at UAH1,950–2,030 per MT and 2 class food wheat at UAH2,000–2,130 per MT.

It is to be admitted, within this week food wheat (11.5% protein content) export prices (with domestic/global prices taken into account) have grown to US$290–295 per MT.

Feed wheat ports purchase prices
 

( demand )

FOB ( offer )

 

UAH per MT

US$ per MT

US$ per MT

12.07.2012

1,800–1,900

242–247

280–285

12.07.2012

1,750–1,850

239–242

265–270

05.07.2012

1,700–1,800

229–232

255–260

26.06.2012

1,600–1,650

214–217

235–245

20.06.2012

1,600–1,650

212–225

230–240

Maize

Within this week EXW-ex-elevator basis feed maize maximum and minimum purchase prices remained same as within previous week: UAH1,500–1,600 per MT; prices depended on shipments regions, contract conditions, seller status (middleman or producer) and purchasers demand volumes.

On CPT Black Sea/Azov Sea ports basis, feed maize purchase prices ranged within

1,750–1,850 per MT.

Within reporting week Ukrainian feed maize export guiding minimum/maximum prices have slightly grown against last week: minimum — up to US$285 per MT (FOB), maximum — to US$290 per MT (FOB).

Feed maize ports purchase prices
 

FOB/DAF*

 

UAH per MT

US$ per MT

US$ per MT

19.07.2012

1,700–1,800

255–265

285–290

12.07.2012

1,700–1,800

245–255

270–275

05.07.2012

1,700–1,800

225–235

245–255

27.06.2012

1,600–1,650

224–234

245–255

20.06.2012

1,650–1,700

219–229

240–250

26.07.2012


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