World production of fresh apples for 2019/20 is forecast up nearly 5.0 million tons to 75.7 million tons

09.12.2019 18:15 "Agro Perspectiva" (Kyiv) — According to the report of the USDA Fresh Apples, Grapes, and Pears: World Markets and Trade (December 2019), world production of fresh apples for 2019/20 is forecast up nearly 5.0 million metric tons (tons) to 75.7 million, as rebounding production in China more than offsets sharply lower production in the European Union. Higher world trade is expected as a result of China’s improved supplies.

China’s production is forecast to rebound 8.0 million tons to 41.0 million, regaining all of last year’s lost output from severe weather. Nearly all major growing provinces experienced favorable growing conditions throughout fruit development, and higher supplies are expected to boost exports up 230,000 tons to over 1.0 million. Though domestic supplies are higher, quality is reported as only fair, increasing import demand for higher quality apples to a record 100,000 tons.

EU production is slated to drop nearly 25 percent to 11.5 million tons as the majority of Member States, especially Poland, experienced a combination of frost, drought, heat, and hail. This will mark the second time in 3 years that weather-induced losses will lower production more than 20 percent. With reduced output, exports are forecast down 200,000 tons to 975,000, the secondlowest level since 2007/08. Imports are expected to remain nearly unchanged at 500,000 tons as a smaller share of domestic output goes towards processing and greater supplies are diverted to fresh consumption.

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