Homepage  Homepage     Search on site  Search on site     To write the letter  To write the letter     Site map  Site map
Agro Perspectiva
We are on: 
   
 


Home > News

USDA attache increased its estimate for South Africas 2020/21 MY total corn crop by 14% to 16 million tons

28.01.2021 15:20 "Agro Perspectiva" (Kyiv) Following are selected highlights from a report issued by a U. S. Department of Agriculture attache in The Pretoria (South Africa — Republic of). Post increased its estimate for South Africas 2020/21 MY total corn crop by 14 percent to 16 million tons. This estimate is on the same level as the 2019/20 MY corn crop. Increased optimism for a bumper 2020/21 MY corn crop is driven by favorable weather conditions. South Africa had an exceptional start to the 2020/21 MY, with widespread rains during October and November that ensured corn producers completed plantings on time. Favorable weather conditions continued during December and January over most of the summer rainfall production region providing conducive growing conditions.

Post increased its previous estimate for the commercial demand for corn in South Africa for the 2019/20 MY from 11.4 million tons to 11.5 million tons. The increase is mainly driven by a rise in the demand for corn for human consumption. With South Africas relatively weak economy and high unemployment rate, many consumers, especially lower income consumers, are shifting more to white corn, in the form of a meal, as relatively inexpensive source of carbohydrates. Post also increased it

forecast for the commercial demand for corn in the 2020/21 MY to 11.7 million tons, driven mainly by an increase in the human consumption of corn.

South Africa will remain a net exporter of corn in the 2020/21 MY on an estimated second consecutive bumper corn crop that will see the estimated commercial production exceeding local consumption. Post predicts South Africa should be able to export around 3.0 million tons of corn in the 2020/21 MY. In addition, Post estimates South Africa will export about 2.5 million tons of corn in the 2019/20 MY. In the first 8 months of the 2019/20 MY, South Africa already exported 1.9 million tons of corn with South Korea, Taiwan, Zimbabwe, Botswana and Japan the major markets.

CORN

Production

South Africa had an exceptional start to the 2020/21 MY, with widespread rains during October and November ensuring corn producers completed plantings on time. Favorable weather conditions continued during December and January over most of the summer rainfall production region providing conducive growing conditions. The medium term weather forecast to March from the South African Weather Services appears favorable for continues rainfall (La Niña weather pattern), adding to optimism for a bumper corn crop in the 2020/21 MY. Although, heavy rains carry a risk of crop damage, this risk appears limited at this stage.

Due to the promising start the summer rainfall season and the current favorable weather conditions, post increased its estimate for South Africas 2020/21 MY total corn crop (subsistence and commercial corn) by 14 percent to 16 million tons. This estimate is on the same level as the 2019/20 MY corn crop (also refer to Table 1). The South African Crop Estimates Committee (CEC) will release its first estimate of the 2020/21 MY summer rainfall crops at the end of February 2021.

In terms of the 2019/20 MY, on November 26, 2020, the CEC released its final production estimate for South Africas summer rainfall crops. The CEC estimated the South African commercial corn crop for the 2019/20 MY at 15.4 million tons on 2.6 million hectares at a national average yield of 5.9 tons per hectare. The 2019/20 MY corn crop is the second largest commercial corn crop ever produced in South Africa and 37 percent larger than the 2018/19 MYs commercial crop of 11.3 million tons. The three main corn producing areas in South Africa, namely the Free State (45 percent), Mpumalanga (21 percent) and North West (18 percent) provinces produced collectively 84 percent of the 2019/20 MYs corn crop.

The CEC kept the 2019/20 MYs production estimate for the subsistence farming sectors corn crop unchanged at 543,545 tons, marginally lower than the 549,180 tons produced in the 2018/19 MY. This means South Africas total corn crop for the 2019/20 MY is estimated at 16.0 million tons on 2.9 million hectares, which is 35 percent more than the 2018/19 MYs corn crop of 11.8 million tons.

The following table details area planted, yield and production figures for commercial white corn and yellow corn as well as corn produced by subsistence farmers for the 2018/19 MY (actual), 2019/20 MY (estimate), and 2020/21 MY (forecast).

Agro Perspectiva

< Economy Ministry announces market agreement to limit corn export from Ukraine in 2020/2021 MY to 24 mln tonnes All news for
28.01.2021
Global orange production for 2020/21 is forecast to rise 3.6 million MT from the previous year to 49.4 million >

04.03.2021  
12:33 BASF achieved its 2020 Palm Commitment
01.03.2021  
11:43 BASF Group: Strong performance in Q4 2020 due to higher volumes and prices
16.02.2021  
11:05 Kernel asks AMCU for permission to buy CascadeAgro, 12 more farms of Khomutynnik
13.02.2021  
18:36 Ukraine: EIB provides 320 million EURO for COVID-19 vaccines and improvements in operational resilience at Boryspil International Airport
11.02.2021  
09:47 Soybean Buyers Turn Attention to Brazils 2021 Harvest
29.01.2021  
11:15 Global orange production for 2020/21 is forecast to rise 3.6 million MT from the previous year to 49.4 million
28.01.2021  
15:20 USDA attache increased its estimate for South Africas 2020/21 MY total corn crop by 14% to 16 million tons
26.01.2021  
17:10 Economy Ministry announces market agreement to limit corn export from Ukraine in 2020/2021 MY to 24 mln tonnes
13:33 China Lowers Applied MFN Tariff Rates and Revises Out of Quota TRQ Rates
21.01.2021  
11:28 Ukraine plans to return to sending IMF borrowing into NBU FX reserves by 2023 Finance minister
09:15 Honey exports from Ukraine increase in monetary terms by 27.2% in 2020
20.01.2021  
21:25 Agricultural production in Ukraine falls by 11.5% in 2020 statistics
21:17 Ukraine increases imports of chocolate by 25.7%, coffee by 15.4% in 2020
13.01.2021  
17:25 China Demand and Global Supply Concerns Drive U.S. Soybean Price Higher
16:30 China Meat Consumption Expected to Rebound in 2021
10:50 Despite Grain Export Restrictions, Russia to Reclaim Top Wheat Export Position
31.12.2020  
16:37 2020 in review: Focus on staff well-being drives FAO forward
15:36 Sustainabilitys influence on chocolate purchase decisions continues to grow, Cargill study finds
13:35 Malaysia. Palm oil (CPO) production forecast - 19.6 million MT
28.12.2020  
15:09 Serbias total area wheat crop is estimated at 600,000 ha
14:10 India. Winter temperatures this coming December through February, along with precipitation will be critical
24.12.2020  
17:15 Make #NotWasting food a personal resolution
16:15 Two cases of HPAI on duck farms in France threatening the foie gras industry
22.12.2020  
21:25 Philip Morris files suit against Ukraine in intl investment arbitration due to AMCU penalty
21:00 FAO moves to scale up response to Fall Armyworm as pest continues to spread
17.12.2020  
17:15 Global Environment Facility approves over $78 million to support FAO-led projects
16:38 Desert Locust upsurge continues to threaten food security in Horn of Africa and Yemen despite intense efforts
11.12.2020  
15:55 India Tariff Cut Boosts Palm Oil Imports
13:31 Global Wheat Prices Supported by Record Global Imports
08.12.2020  
13:00 Jose Carlos Corral Montilla appointed to Managing Director of BTC Europe
12:10 Chile. Avocado exports will reach 145,000 MT, assuming planted area and productivity remain unchanged
07.12.2020  
15:30 Cargill, IFPEN and Axens collaborate to advance lactic-to-acrylic-acid technology
04.12.2020  
14:15 World 2020 cereal production forecast reduced further
13:50 FAO Food Price Index rises sharply
13:25 EBRD supports Ukrainian pet food producer Kormotech
03.12.2020  
16:10 Thailand: Rice export prices increased 1-3 percent
16:05 FAO and partners advocate for inclusive food systems to combat rural poverty
01.12.2020  
14:05 Draft state budget for 2021 submitted to Rada for consideration at second reading
30.11.2020  
15:10 Belgian Regains African Swine Fever-Free Status
29.11.2020  
01:20 HPAI Detected in Commercial Turkey Flock in Sweden
25.11.2020  
13:50 Poland has been the EUs largest turkey meat producer since 2017
12:01 Global 2020/21 Sugar Production is Estimated Higher United States, India, and Brazil Up 10 to 40 Percent
10:50 HPAI Detected in Commercial Flock in Denmark
23.11.2020  
17:10 FAO urges G20 to support farmers, protect the vulnerable and invest in innovation
18.11.2020  
17:00 Decline of Ukraine's GDP slows to 3.5% in Q3, 2020 statistics
16:35 Bulgarian grain trading has been slower than the previous season
12.11.2020  
12:21 Bosch and BASF establish joint venture for digital technologies in the agricultural sector
08:50 Lower Sunflower Seed Production in Ukraine and Russia Tightens Global Oilseed Supplies
10.11.2020  
17:00 Global almond production for 2020/21 is forecast 15 percent higher to 1.7 MMT
09.11.2020  
10:48 Despite a cut in world cereal production, this years forecast output remains an all-time high

Also available: 


NewsNews - News - News - News - News - News
BriefWeekly Reports - Free article
SubscriptionTariff - News&Reports
AdvertisingMagazine - Site
ConferencesForum AGRO-2013 - DAIRY WORLD-2008 - FERTILIZERS-2010
Statistics
For our clientsAgroNewsDaily - Ukrainian Grain&Oilseed Market - Fertilizers - Milk Monthly - Milk Weekly
About usAbout project - Contact
2002 -2021 © Agrarika, ltd.
tel.: +380 44 4868119; +380 44 5934540
e-mail: client@agroperspectiva.com