Pork. Global productionisforecast 4 percent higher in 2021 due to rebounding output in countries affected by ASF

27.10.2020 16:41 "Agro Perspectiva" (Kyiv) — According to the report of the USDA Livestock and Poultry: World Markets and Trade (Oktober 2020), global productionisforecast 4 percent higher in 2021 due to rebounding output in countries affected by African swine fever (ASF) and to a lesser extent recovery from COVID-19 impacts. Production is forecast 9 percent higher in China as producers aggressively rebuild their herds and take advantage of high hog prices. However, at 41.5 million tons, production is still nearly 25 percent lower than predisease levels. Recovery from ASF is also driving production growth in Vietnam and the Philippines, although outbreaks continue to occur in the latter country which could challenge rebuilding efforts. In the European Union, production is up marginallyon stable herd levels and productivity growth. The discovery of ASF in the wild boar population of Germany is not expected to impact production directly, but export restrictions will result in higher German pork supplies in an already saturatedEU market.

This, coupled with weak domestic demand and slowing demand from China, is likely to dampen prices next year. In Brazil, production is forecast up nearly 4 percent due to rebounding domestic pork consumption and relatively resilient export demand, aided by a weak real.

Global exports are forecast unchanged at 10.8 million tons in 2021. Global pork demand is expected to rebound from COVID-19 on improving economic conditions and recovery in the restaurant and food service sectors. However, slowing demand from the top importer — China — offsets growth from the rest

of the world. After a torrid pace in 2020, China pork imports are forecast down 6 percent due to the rebound in domestic production. Other major pork importers including Mexico, Philippines, Japan, Korea, and the United States are all forecast higher but these countries combined account for less trade

than China alone.

U.S. productionand exports: U.S. productionis forecast about 1 percent higher in 2021 on modest growth in slaughter. Producers indicated intentions to reduce sow farrowings in later 2020 and first quarter of 2021, and this will limit hog supplies much of next year while slightly lower carcass weights will also limit production growth. Despite a relatively strong domestic market, export demand is softening. Exports are unchanged from 2020 at 3.3 million tons as weakening demand from China offsets growth to other markets including Mexico and Japan.

28.09.2022
	08:47	EBRD expects Ukraine’s economy to contract by nearly a third in 2022
27.09.2022
	15:48	Farmers sowed 961,000 hectares of winter rapeseed
13.09.2022
	07:03	China vegetable oil imports plunge in 2021/22 but forecast to recover in 2022/23
	05:00	India Imposes Export Restrictions on Certain Types of Rice
08.09.2022
	16:43	Famine in Somalia projected, lives of millions of people are at immediate risk, UN says
05.09.2022
	19:00	Lower cereal production outlook underpins downward revisions for utilization and stocks in 2022/23
	18:55	World food commodity prices dip for fifth month in a row in August
31.08.2022
	08:55	BASF and Corteva Agriscience collaborate to deliver the future of weed control to soybean farmers
29.08.2022
	23:37	Ukraine and Moldova abolish permits for intl cargo transportation from Sept
	14:57	Chile: Walnut production estimates in 165,000 MT in 2022/23 MY
25.08.2022
	14:12	Prices for rapeseed (non-GMO) at the western border of Ukraine fell to the level of USD530-550/t
	09:55	The supply of wheat on the market is increasing
	09:45	With higher food prices and pressing needs, UN team in Algeria calls for support for Sahrawi Refugees
19.08.2022
	07:06	The FAO Dairy Price Index averaged 146.4 points in July, down 3.8 points (2.5 percent) from June
06.08.2022
	15:38	FAO Food Price Index registered a steep drop in July
03.08.2022
	15:55	BASF enters power agreements for clean energy supply of more than 20 BASF sites across the United States
	13:22	FAO to boost soil nutrient mapping in Central America and sub-Saharan Africa $20 million contribution from U.S.A. will catalyze more efficient use of fertilizers
	12:21	Europe and Central Asia: Promoting green agriculture to transform local agrifood systems
	11:23	Ukraine: Canada contributes USD 40 million to cover 2.4 million tonnes of storage
29.07.2022
	16:55	South Africa Fresh Orange Production and Exports Climb Higher
26.07.2022
	11:28	BASF transforms market towards certified, sustainably sourced coconut oil
23.07.2022
	02:43	Black Sea grain exports deal ‘a beacon of hope’ amid Ukraine war - Guterres
07.07.2022
	12:43	Russia illegally exports 150,000-170,000 tonnes of grain from Ukraine per month - Ukrainian Ambassador to Turkey
28.06.2022
	08:35	Export prices for milling wheat again fell slightly
27.06.2022
	09:50	No concrete agreements on holding talks with participation of Ukraine, Russia, Turkey, UN on grain export – MFA
20.06.2022
	20:32	Coca-Cola to cease production and sales in Russia
14.06.2022
	16:27	Afghanistan: FAO and the World Bank step up their response to the worsening food security $195 million emergency project aims to provide critical life-saving and livelihood assistance to smallholder farmers
	13:32	Ukraine calls on other countries to abandon export restrictions - trade representative
13.06.2022
	12:26	India bans wheat exports to ensure sufficient domestic food grain supply
03.06.2022
	10:28	Thailand Sugar Production and Exports Continue to Rebound
02.06.2022
	11:11	Global rapeseed supplies in 2022/23 are projected to a record 100.5 MMT
31.05.2022
	12:51	Global soybean production in 2022/23 is forecast at a record 394.7 MMT
24.05.2022
	09:05	Global soybean production in 2022/23 is forecast at a record 394.7 MMT
17.05.2022
	15:00	Ukraine rapeseed production is forecast to rise despite the ongoing hostilities
	10:49	2021/22 Indonesia Palm Oil Exports Slashed
16.05.2022
	15:45	Astarta Completed Spring Planting 2022
15.05.2022
	16:37	2022/23 Grain Consumption Exceeds Production, Stocks Tighten
11.05.2022
	14:31	EBRD to play key role in support of Ukraine, President says
09.05.2022
	11:15	Vegetable oil and maize prices slightly decrease after recent surge, while rice, meat, dairy and sugar prices slightly increase and global trade prospects dim
29.04.2022
	14:03	BASF achieves strong EBIT before special items despite significantly higher energy and raw materials prices
28.04.2022
	17:52	EU takes steps to suspend all duties on imports from Ukraine
	16:27	BASF to wind down activities in Russia and Belarus except for business that supports food production
27.04.2022
	13:54	EBRD enhances trade finance for Ukraine
	09:11	Coca-Cola will provide assistance to Ukraine for up to $15 mln
26.04.2022
	20:35	Indonesia. Despite the expected increase in production, imports of raw sugar are also forecast to increase
	19:43	Australia is expected to produce another big grain crop in MY 2022/23 after a record setting winter crop and strong summer crop production in MY 2021/22
21.04.2022
	10:15	The Ukraine Conflict and Other Factors Contributing to High Commodity Prices and Food Insecurity
16.04.2022
	16:25	WFP appeals for access to encircled cities in Ukraine
12.04.2022
	11:35	Global cereal trade and utilization in 2021/22 revised down
	10:25	FAO Food Price Index posts significant leap in March