Australia Wheat: Production Estimate Lowered
09.11.2018 10:30 "Agro Perspectiva" (Kyiv) —
USDA estimates Australia’s 2018/19 wheat crop at 17.5 million metric tons (mmt), down 1.0 mmt (5 percent) from last month, and down 3.8 mmt (18 percent) from last year. Harvested area
is expected to total 10.8 million hectares (mha), down 0.2 mha from last month and down 1.45
mha (12 percent) from last year. Yield is forecast at 1.62 tons per hectare (t/ha), down from 1.68
t/ha last month and 21 percent below the 5-year average.
The reduction in estimated yield is attributed to persistent dryness and subsoil moisture deficits
in major portions of Australia’s winter crop region. Precipitation has been well below average
since major sowing operations commenced in May. Satellite-derived seasonal vegetation indices
reveal sharp differences in crop health between Western Australia and New South Wales, the
two largest wheat producing states. In New South Wales, crop health has been the lowest since
2002 when the MODIS satellites started their observations. Winter crops are sown in May and
June. Harvest begins in November and is finished by the end of December.