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Australia Wheat: Production Estimate Lowered

09.11.2018 10:30 "Agro Perspectiva" (Kyiv) USDA estimates Australias 2018/19wheat crop at 17.5million metric tons (mmt), down 1.0 mmt (5percent) from last month, and down 3.8mmt (18percent) from last year. Harvested area

is expected to total 10.8million hectares (mha), down 0.2mha from last month and down 1.45

mha (12percent) from last year. Yield is forecast at 1.62tons per hectare (t/ha), down from 1.68

t/ha last month and 21percent below the 5-year average.

The reduction in estimated yield is attributed to persistent dryness and subsoil moisture deficits

in major portions of Australias winter crop region. Precipitation has been well below average

since major sowing operations commenced in May. Satellite-derived seasonal vegetation indices

reveal sharp differences in crop health between Western Australia and New South Wales, the

two largest wheat producing states. In New South Wales, crop health has been the lowest since

2002when the MODIS satellites started their observations. Winter crops are sown in May and

June. Harvest begins in November and is finished by the end of December.

Agro Perspectiva

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