World cereal production estimates revised upwards

06.03.2020 14:30 "Agro Perspectiva" (Kyiv) — FAO also issued a new Cereal Supply and Demand Brief, raising its estimates for 2019 world cereal production to 2 719 million tonnes due to higher maize outputs in West Africa and Ukraine.

The brief offers a preliminary forecast of 763 million tonnes for 2020 worldwide wheat production — very close to the near-record level of 2019 — and indicates that coarse grain output in 2020 will likely be strong in Argentina, Brazil and South Africa.

World cereal utilization in the 2019/20 cycle is now forecast to reach a record level of 2 721 million tonnes, driven by higher food, feed and industrial usages.

FAO raised its forecast for world cereal stocks at the close of the 2020 seasons to nearly 866 million tonnes, resulting in the global cereals stock-to-use ratio staying at a comfortable level of 30.9 percent.

FAO also forecasts world trade in cereals to rise by 2.3 percent to 420 million tonnes in 2019/20, the second-highest level on record, with wheat shipments accounting for more than half of the expected increase.

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