Indonesia Robusta coffee production in 2025/26 is forecast to increase - USDA

04.01.2026 08:24 "Agro Perspectiva" (Kyiv) — According to the report of the USDA Coffee: World Markets and Trade (December 2025), Indonesia Robusta coffee production in 2025/26 is forecast to increase 1.7 million bags (60 kilograms) to 11.0 million as yields improve on favorable weather and higher labor utilization during the harvest. Indonesia has been the world’s third-largest Robusta producer after Vietnam and Brazil since 2000/01 when these two countries began expanding output dramatically. Indonesia’s Arabica output is expected up slightly to 1.5 million bags, placing it behind 9 other producers.

Over the last 10 years, total coffee area in Indonesia has remained flat at an estimated 1.2 million hectares with no significant expansion expected in the foreseeable future. Sumatera accounts for about 75 percent of Indonesia’s coffee production and is dominated by Robusta output in the south and limited Arabica production in the north. Over 95 percent of production comes from growers with plots averaging one hectare, most of whom do not rely on fertilizers or other inputs to boost yields. Growers primarily rely on family labor for non-harvest activities such as pruning, while cooperative labor pool arrangements are often used during the harvest.

Indonesia is forecast to increase green coffee exports by 1.7 million bags to 7.8 million on higher supplies, with top markets including the European Union, the United States, and Egypt. Whereas the European Union is the major destinatio

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