Agro Perspectiva

Pistachios. Global production for 2024/25 is forecast to rise 7 percent to 1.2 million metric tons

26.02.2025 10:01 "Agro Perspectiva" (Kyiv) — Global production for 2024/25 is forecast to rise 7 percent to 1.2 million metric tons (tons) as gains in Turkey, Iran, and Syria more than offset losses in the United States. As a result of higher available supplies, world consumption is expected up 6 percent to 1.1 million tons with the remainder boosting ending stocks. Global exports are expected down 2 percent to 622,000 tons due to lower supplies from top exporter the United States.

U.S. production is forecast to decline 26 percent to 503,000 tons due to lower output from the off-year of the alternate bearing crop cycle. This forecast is based

on data from processors’ producer delivery reports and acreage surveys from the Administrative Committee for Pistachios. Prior years are based on data from the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) as reported in the Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts report. Exports are forecast to drop nearly 20 percent from last year’s record to 360,000 tons as tighter supplies limit shipments to top markets in Asia and Europe. Ending stocks are forecast 37 percent lower to 66,000 tons primarily due to reduced output.

Iran production is forecast to rise nearly 20 percent to 200,000 tons. However, the Iranian Pistachio Association reported that, while output was expected higher, nut size was lower than normal due to extreme summer heat and frequent irrigation interruptions caused by widespread electricity

shortages. Despite quality issues, exports are forecast to climb to 175,000 tons on rising shipments to India, China, and Turkey.

Turkey production is forecast to more than double to 385,000 tons due to high yields from the on-year of the alternate bearing crop cycle. Large swings in output are typical. Approximately 80 percent of output is concentrated in the southeastern part of Turkey, and trees in this area benefited from favorable growing conditions this year. With additional output, exports are expected to rise 26 percent to 70,000 tons on higher shipments to Europe.

China imports are forecast to slip 1 percent to 170,000 tons as reduced shipments from the United States more than offset higher supplies from Iran. Shanghai and Beijing are key markets for U.S. pistachios, whereas smaller cities prefer more competitively priced imports from Iran.

EU production is forecast unchanged at 35,000 tons on normal growing conditions in Spain and Italy. Imports are expected to decrease slightly to 150,000 tons, with the United States supplying most of the market.