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Ukrainian dairy market

Within reporting week dairy products prices on Ukrainian domestic/export markets continued demonstrating, as earlier, growth trend, with prices growth remaining supported by previous factors: firstly, Ukrainian producers continued declining their raw milk sales to processors (due to seasonality factor and owing to raw milk output being down against last year similar) — and so some Ukrainian dairy processing plants have felt raw milk deficit strengthening. Secondly, Ukrainian domestic most dairy products free-to-sale reserves have become low — what enables producers to raise their sale prices. Third, domestic processors continued hoping for China market to get activated in short time and Kazakhstan market demand boost (caused by several new Kazakhstan companies having had started working). Besides, Ukrainian domestic/export markets prices growth has been supported also by global market prices gradual rise. So, experts affirm dairy products prices on Ukrainian domestic/export markets will continue strengthening until early 2016. It is to be admitted, experts say dairy products UAH prices on Ukrainian domestic market can be additionally supported also by UAH/US$ exchange rate decline (expected to start after this year Oct Ukrainian local elections).
In meanwhile, within this week Ukrainian domestic market SMP prices have risen to UAH45–48 per kg (up 3.33% against previous week/up 10.06% as of last month similar); export market SMP prices have boosted to US$1,800–2,000 per MT (up 6.44% against previous week/up 16.03% against previous month similar). As earlier, within this week Ukrainian domestic market SMP purchasers high activity (caused by global market prices growth forecast, Ukrainian domestic market output decline and China/Kazakhstan factors) made Ukrainian domestic/export markets SMP prices go up.
As of this week, Ukrainian butter producers/resellers continued boosting their domestic/export markets butter prices (due to domestic butter output decline, producers low butter reserves and export market high sale rates).
Thus, within this week Ukrainian domestic market block butter (72.5% fat, DSTU) prices have grown to UAH62–67 per kg (up 0.78% against previous week/up 14.67% as of last month similar); export market block butter (72.5% fat, DSTU) prices have lifted to US$2,600–2,800 per MT (up 3.85% against previous week/up 9.26% as of last month similar).
Within reporting week Ukrainian home market WMP prices have escalated to UAH60,5–63 per kg (up 0.41% against previous week); external market WMP prices have risen to US$2,250–2,300 per MT (up 1.11% as of last week). Experts say Ukrainian home/external markets WMP prices growth has been stimulated mostly by Ukrainian home WMP output decline.
As of this week, Ukrainian domestic market casein fluctuated within UAH126–135 per kg (same as within previous week/up 0.19% as of previous month similar); export market casein prices were US$4,800–5,050 per MT (same as of last week/up 0.25% as of last month similar).
Within this week Ukrainian export market casein demand remained relatively low — and so domestic casein producers didnt raise their domestic/export markets prices (even despite Ukrainian casein output decline).
Within reporting week Ukrainian domestic market cheese prices ranged within UAH80–87 per kg (unchanged against previous week/up 2.14% against previous month similar); export market prices, however, were US$3,200–4,000 per MT (same as of last week).
Within this week Ukrainian domestic/export markets cheese demand/offer remained unchanged: on one hand, purchasers continued to abstain from big purchases making (due to EU-produced cheeses being offered on export market at prices down against Ukrainian similar and owing to Ukrainian domestic population paying capacity being low) and, on other hand, Ukrainian cheese output continued gradually declining due to seasonality factor (what has made a negative impact upon country whey output).
Within reporting week Ukrainian domestic market demineralized whey prices have grown to UAH11,50–12,50 per kg (up 6.31% against previous week/up 7.03% as of last month similar); export market prices have jumped to US$490–530 per MT (up 18.60% against previous week /up 18.95% as of last month similar).
At same time, this week Ukrainian domestic market classic whey prices have boosted to UAH11,00–11,50 per kg (up 4.90% against previous week/up 5.20% against previous month similar); export market prices have escalated to US$420–450 per MT (up 9.43% against previous week/up 9.61% as of last month similar).
Experts admit Ukrainian domestic/export markets whey prices boost has been caused mainly by country whey output decline and domestic producers whey low reserves.
However, at same time, within this week purchasers activity on Ukrainian domestic/export whey markets was rather slack — since purchasers waited for prices to start lowing down to previous level (due to US domestic market whey prices remaining low and EU countries domestic market prices being not too high). In meanwhile, experts say prices lowing is hardly possible.
As of this week, Ukrainian inner market GOST canned milk prices have slightly grown against previous week — to UAH13,0–15,4 per can (380 gr), with prices growth having been caused by country inner market prices boost of dairy products as well as sugar.


10.11.2015




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