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Ukrainian dairy market

As of previous, within this week some dairy products prices on Ukrainian domestic/export markets continued growing up. Prices growth has been caused, as earlier, mainly by following factors:
 — domestic dairy products output seasonal decline followed with market operators corresponding anticipation of domestic market prices boost;
 — domestic dairy products reserves remaining relatively low (due to export high rates and earlier concluded contracts for big lots export shipments to be carried out in short time);
 — domestic producers hoping for global market prices growth tendency to remain.
It is to be admitted, blockade of Ukrainian foods shipments to Crimea within this week hasnt so far made any significant pressure on Ukrainian domestic market dairy products prices. However, there is no doubt prices will start going up if blockade remains.
In meanwhile, within this week RF Rosselkhoznadzor continued giving permissions to Ukrainian dairy products producers for making shipments to Crimea: thus, within this week permission was given to CJSC Laktalis-Myckolayiv. It is to be admitted, Rosselkhoznadzor still doesnt give permissions to some Ukrainian dairy products producers — what means Ukrainian dairy products shipments to peninsular now remain limited even without any blockade.
Within reporting week Ukrainian domestic market SMP prices have grown to UAH42–45 per kg (up 1.75% against previous week/up 6.58% as of last month similar); export market SMP prices ranged within US$1,600–1,750 per MT (unchanged against previous week /up 7.20% against previous month similar). As of this week, Ukrainian producers continued exporting their SMP to Kazakhstan at average US$1,900 per MT. Experts admit Ukrainian domestic market SMP prices growth has been caused mainly by domestic raw milk output seasonal decline, domestic SMP high reserves and big earlier concluded SMP export contracts. It is to be admitted, now Ukrainian producers regard their export market SMP prices as not high enough. Besides, foreign purchasers are not much eager to conclude any new contracts with Ukrainian SMP producers after Ukrainian export market SMP prices recent boost — as EU and other global markets SMP prices are not too high. Experts admit Ukrainian export market SMP prices will continue rising, but not as fast as earlier.
In meanwhile, within this week Ukrainian domestic market block butter (72.5% fat, DSTU) prices have escalated to UAH59–62 per kg (up 3.42% against previous week/up 16.91% as of last month similar); export market block butter (72.5% fat, DSTU) prices have grown to US$2,300–2,700 per MT (up 0.20% against previous week/up 3.95% as of last month similar). It is to be admitted, within this week Ukrainian butter output has been gradually declining due to seasonality factor — what, together with fact of domestic low reserves, has stimulated Ukrainian butter makers to continue boosting their domestic/export markets prices. it is to be mentioned, within this week Ukrainian butter export remained high.
As of this week, Ukrainian home market WMP prices have improved to UAH57–60 per kg (up 3.54% against previous week); external market WMP prices have escalated to US$2,150–2,250 per MT (up 1.15% as of last week). It is to be admitted, Ukrainian home/external markets WMP prices growth has been caused mainly by Ukrainian WMP output decline.
Within reporting week Ukrainian domestic market casein prices ranged within UAH126–135 per kg (unchanged against previous week/up 8.19% as of last month similar); export market casein prices fluctuated within US$4,800–5,050 per MT (same as of last week/up 5.91% against previous month similar). It is to be admitted, within this week Ukrainian casein output was gradually lowing due to seasonality factor.
Within reporting week Ukrainian domestic market cheese prices ranged within UAH78–87 per kg (unchanged against previous week/up 2.33% against previous month similar); export market prices fluctuated within US$3,200–4,000 per MT (unchanged as of last week). As of previous, within this week purchasers’ activity on Ukrainian domestic/export cheese markets remained mainly slack. It is to be admitted, within this week Kazakhstan purchasers demand for Ukrainian cheese remained slack even despite KZT/US$ exchange rate having slightly (by 6%) grown — what has been caused by fact of EU-made cheeses prices remaining rather low and EU having boosted its cheese products offer (sold as cheese in Kazakhstan retail trade networks). It is to be mentioned, now Ukrainian cheese producers are waiting for domestic raw milk prices seasonal growth — what makes them revise their export market ready products future prices.
In meanwhile, this week Ukrainian domestic market demineralized whey prices ranged within UAH10,70–11,50 per kg (unchanged against previous week/up 4.23% as of last month similar); export market prices fluctuated within US$410–450 per MT (unchanged against previous week/up 1.78% as of last month similar). At same time, this week Ukrainian domestic market classic whey prices equaled to UAH10,45–11,00 per kg (unchanged against previous week/up 1.18% as of last month similar); export market prices were US$380–415 per MT (unchanged against previous week/up 0.79% against previous month similar). Experts admit Ukrainian producers have already made whey big export market contracts — what, together with domestic whey low reserves, let producers hope for whey prices growth on Ukrainian domestic/export markets within next few months. At same time, experts say prices growth is possible only in case if global market prices boost tendency remains.
As of this week, Ukrainian inner market GOST canned milk prices have slightly grown against previous week — to UAH12,0–14,2 per can (380 gr).


29.09.2015

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